X.3 · Capability in Cross-cutting

Decision-making

Making good decisions with incomplete information, and matching the effort to the stakes.

Map4 skills

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4 skillsClick a hexagon to set your status

X.3.1Weighing tradeoffsMaking explicit what each option gains and gives up.
X.3.2Deciding under uncertaintyActing well when the facts are incomplete.
X.3.3Reversible and irreversible decisionsMoving fast on decisions you can undo and slowly on those you cannot.
X.3.4Opportunity costThe value of what you give up by choosing one option.

Mark all 4

Where to start

3 resources

articleStart here
2016 letter to shareholders ↗
Jeff Bezos · 2017 · 9 min
Two-way door decisions, deciding with about 70% of the information you wish you had, and "disagree and commit".
articleStart here
Reversible and irreversible decisions ↗
Farnam Street · 2018 · 8 min
Decide easy-to-undo things fast and spend care on the few that are hard to reverse.
articleStart here
Design docs at Google ↗
Malte Ubl · 2020 · 21 min
How a short document with goals, non-goals and alternatives considered makes trade-offs explicit before code.

0 tools

Tools for this topic are being researched.